Climate and drought outlook for the united states freese and. There is no current drought indicated on the usdm for alaska and puerto rico, and drought is not favored to develop through the end of june. Drought information page monthly and seasonal outlooks. Drought conditions have gradually eased across hawaii. Spring outlook for temperature, precipitation and drought. The map, produced using gis, shows where current drought areas are expected to improve, be removed, or persist with intensity, as well as new areas where drought may develop, at the end of the forecast period. Monthly drought outlook 0 seasonal drought outlook 1 description. Us seasonal drought monitor from the university of nebraskalincoln.
Home expert assessments drought information seasonal drought outlook discussion. Photo courtesy of gordon severson, wkow madison, wi. Posts about us seasonal drought outlook written by feww. The map, produced using gis, shows where current drought areas are expected to. Pdf version of seasonal drought outlook graphic latest seasonal assessment drought coverage continued to increase across the contiguous states during the past month, going from just over 26 percent in middecember to 33 percent as of january 16, 2018. Monthly drought outlook legend all layers and tables layers. With the end of the statewide hydrologic drought from 2011 to 2017, the pacific institute drought response team is no longer providing monthly drought updates. Overview answers to questions such as what is a drought, how bad is this drought, and when will it end. This map depicts a nationwide outlook of seasonal drought during the period of march through june 2020. The site also publishes maps showing hazard outlooks, drought status, and monthly and seasonal drought outlooks. Drought information page monthly and seasonal outlooks weather.
Tools used in the drought outlook included the official cpc precipitation outlook for june 2009 and the long lead forecast for june august 2009, the fourmonth palmer drought termination and amelioration probabilities, various medium and shortrange forecasts and models such as the 610 day and 8. Noaa drought outlook seasonal april, may, june agfax. Home outlook maps monthly to seasonal outlooks seasonal outlooks official forecasts experimental twoclass seasonal forecasts. Seasonal postmortem about us our mission who we are contact us cpc information cpc web team. Adam allgood noaanwsncepclimate prediction center drought tendency during the valid period valid for march 19 june 30, 2020 released march 19 depicts largescale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short and longrange statistical and dynamical forecasts. Drought monitor is produced in partnership between the national drought mitigation center at the university of nebraskalincoln, the united states. Drought to persist or intensify drought ongoing, some improvement drought likely to improve, impacts ease drought development likely depicts largescale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided. Climate prediction center cpcus seasonal drought outlook sdo. Temperatures are favored to be above average across most of the western, southern, and eastern u.
Us seasonal drought outlook cascade commodity consulting. Seasonal drought outlook, covering march through june, existing drought conditions are expected to persist in. Tools used in the drought outlook included the official precipitation outlook for september 2008, the long lead forecast for septembernovember 2008, various medium and shortrange forecasts and models such as the 610 day and 814 day forecasts, the soil moisture tools based on the gfs model and. Mar 27, 20 by kathy voth march 27, 20 comments off on u. The cpc seasonal outlook favors abovemedian precipitation during the period. Seasonal drought outlook sdo include the climate prediction center cpc temperature and precipitation outlooks for march 2020 and marchaprilmay mam 2020, various shortrange and mediumrange forecasts and models, such as the 7day. Seasonal drought outlook is produced by the national weather services climate prediction center. Large parts of alaska are also likely to experience aboveaverage precipitation in the months ahead.
Latest seasonal assessment as predicted in the previous seasonal drought outlook, drought conditions expanded across much of the west coast states as subnormal precipitation during the wet season resulted in drying soils, belowaverage snowpack conditions, and dropping reservoir levels. This change is reflected in the verification column. For instance, if drought is likely to develop in a region, farmers and ranchers may decide to delay planting, plant a droughtresistant crop, or stockpile food and water for livestock. Seasonal drought outlook drought tendency during the valid period valid may 1, 2008 july, 2008 released may 1, 2008 k e y. We will continue to work toward sustainable water solutions in california and beyond. In june 20, the climate prediction center made modifications to the u. Mar 19, 2020 spring outlook for temperature, precipitation and drought. Drought monitor top and drought outlook bottom from national drought mitigation center and the climate prediction center weather and climate outlooks sea surface temperature sst anomalies along the equator indicate. One floodgate was opened at possum kingdom lakes morris sheppard dam at 6. A cpc forecaster from a rotating schedule of 5 as of august 20 creates the seasonal drought outlook map and narratives. Texas, oklahoma, and southcentral kansas winter wheat likely to experience drought conditions into early spring. The starting point for the climate prediction center, the home of the official u. The national weather service is trying to help us manage our livestock and pastures by issuing drought forecasts for the united states. Noaas seasonal outlook shows warm temperatures and rain inequality.
Us weather outlook highlights spring flooding risk ars. Mar 26, 2020 noaa releases its flood outlook for the spring widespread minor flooding this spring is expected in the midwest, resulting from months of ongoing rainfall with saturated soils. National significant wildland fire potential outlook. Seasonal drought outlook, covering march through june, existing drought conditions are expected to persist in areas of washington, oregon, california, nevada, idaho, utah, arizona, colorado, new mexico, texas and florida. The outlook predicts whether drought will emerge, stay the same or get better in the next three months. Climate outlooks describe the chances that conditions will be belownormal. It is based upon multiple drought indicators, including various indices, outlooks, field reports, and news accounts, in addition to consultation with experts from across the country.
Find forecast and outlook products related to drought from our regional and federal partners. Us seasonal drought outlook climate prediction center noaa. Further east, while frequent winter storms brought abundant moisture and periods of severe weather to parts of the central and southeastern u. Drought monitor is produced through a partnership between the national drought mitigation center at the university of nebraskalincoln, the united states department of agriculture, and the national oceanic and atmospheric administration. Us dept of commerce national oceanic and atmospheric administration national weather service western and central wyoming 12744 west u. The climate prediction center publishes temperature and precipitation outlook maps for four different future periods. One of the major changes involved the replacement of the updated seasonal drought outlook sdo with a new monthly drought outlook mdo. Us seasonal drought outlook from the us temperature, precipitation, hazards and drought outlooks website at the climate prediction center. Seasonal drought outlook print email the national weather service is trying to help us manage our livestock and pastures by issuing drought forecasts for the united states. South texas experienced drought intensification along the mexican border. The climate prediction centers cpc seasonal drought outlook is issued monthly on the third thursday of each. Therefore, continued drought reduction is the most likely outcome. Drought conditions expanded north along the eastern slopes of the cascade mountain range into washington state. December golf at odana hills golf course, madison, wi.
Leave a reply cancel reply your email address will not be published. Dec 14, 2005 official 90day outlooks are issued once each month near midmonth at 8. Us seasonal drought outlook april 21, 2011 july 31. Tools used in the drought outlook included the official cpc precipitation outlook for december 2009 and the long lead forecast for december 2009 february 2010, the fourmonth palmer drought termination and amelioration probabilities, various medium and shortrange forecasts and models such as the. Seasonal drought outlook, covering march through june. This increase was driven primarily by broad drought development through the southcentral. Us weather outlook highlights spring flooding risk ars technica. On october 17th, noaa issued its december through february outlook for temperature, precipitation, and drought. There have not been significant changes to the incipient drought situation since the release of the april june seasonal drought outlook. Climate and drought outlook for the united states freese.
Current monthly and seasonal fire potential outlook map. Use caution for applications that can be affected by shortlived events. Latest seasonal assessment drought coverage continued to increase across the contiguous states during the past month, going from just over 26 percent in middecember to 33 percent as of january 16, 2018. Mar 22, 2020 drought, on the other hand, is likely to continue or develop from the four corners region across to california and up to washington, as well as in southern texas. A cpc forecaster from a rotating schedule of 5 as of august 20 creates the monthly drought outlook map and narratives. Us seasonal drought outlook the climate prediction centers cpc seasonal drought outlook is issued monthly on the third thursday of each month. Mar 24, 2020 it is projected that the rest of the areas previously under drought will either improve or drought conditions will be alleviated entirely. Us weather outlook highlights spring flooding risk. Aboveaverage precipitation is favored from the northern plains, southward through the lower mississippi valley across to the east coast.
Us seasonal drought outlook learn more three month temperature outlook learn more. The climate prediction centers cpc seasonal drought outlook depicts largescale drought trends over the next three months based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short and longrange statistical and dynamical forecasts. For instance, if drought is likely to develop in a region, farmers and ranchers may decide to delay planting, plant a drought resistant crop, or stockpile food and water for livestock. Midwestgreat plains climate drought outlook 17 december 2015 jeff andresen, state climatologist michigan state university. Seasonal drought outlook climate prediction center. Conserve water tips for how you can conserve water at home, work, in the kitchen, in the bathroom, outdoors, and more. Current us monthly outlook map and assessement the climate prediction center publishes temperature and precipitation outlook maps for four different future periods. The climate prediction centers cpc seasonal drought outlook is issued monthly on the third thursday of each month. Drought monitor is produced in partnership between the national drought mitigation center at the university of nebraskalincoln, the united states department of agriculture, and the national oceanic and atmospheric administration. Mar 02, 2020 with much of early march in the cpcs latest 610 day outlook, it is pretty easy to see that the clash of cooler air in the western u.
Us seasonal drought outlook learn more us seasonal drought outlook the u. Spring outlook forecasts another year of widespread. Feb 14, 2018 click on image to enlarge pdf version of seasonal drought outlook graphic. The report focuses on seasonal snowpack, precipitation, temperature, and drought conditions in the u. With much of early march in the cpcs latest 610 day outlook, it is pretty easy to see that the clash of cooler air in the western u. The outlook also shows drought developing in florida, which. The united states seasonal drought outlook drought tendency during the valid period valid april 21, 2011 july 31, 2011 see noaa climate prediction center. The experts also consider seasonal patterns of precipitation for example, if a. Climate prediction center seasonal drought outlook sdo.
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